The west’s waiting will bring only war.

As rumours circulate this evening that up to 15,000 Russian troops are now in and around the Crimea
The west is not even filled with empty rhetoric, let along strong words or actions.

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I spoke, only days ago in my Cold War blog about the scale of the issue currently escalating daily in Ukraine. Yet, the situation has only got severely worse, with the threat of a split nation ever more possible, but still without a significant response from either the UK, US or EU.

Those at the helms are only letting down the people of the Ukraine that want to continue to be part of a unified nation. Whilst only helping to stoke the fire for the groups that want the tug-of-war to carve up the pro-EU and pro-Russian country.

The actions of the Putin are possible only because he knew that the west’s reaction would be that of silence and a hush-hush mentality. We made this possible.

Instead, the LA Times are reporting today how Obama was running around the Whitehouse a great use of his very important time, eh?

My question is this; has the West lost it’s once feared force.

Obama and Cameron’s yellow ways continue to allow tens, if not hundreds of thousands of people to be incarcerated in labour camps, in the mountainous region of North Korea, yet nothing is done either.

These are world issues; Obama is seemingly just cruising through his second term, not wanting to rock the boat, and must go down as the most anti-climaxically challenged (if that’s even a term) President for a very, very long time.
Whilst Cameron is even incapable of helping the residents of his own country after the recent floods, Merkel seems to want to run the EU these days, and we all know about Hollande…

Are these four major players going to head us towards a fiercer Cold War than before?

One things for sure, silence and empty rhetoric is not golden, actions need to happen.

The Iron Curtain – dusting off the ice

I was born in what most believe to be the post Cold War era, in 1992. However, most argue (as I once did in a university assignment), the Cold War has never ended, only thawed to a sustainable degree.

Since Yanukovych rejected the EU for closer ties with Russia a few months ago, the response we have seen was perhaps inevitable. However, we may see the smiles on the faces of the protestors, now that their vilified leader is now deposed. But what is next for the ex Soviet state?

Ukraine

Ukraine has a past of being divided, and only became a unified nation as a Soviet Republic in the 19th century, and only an independent nation-state in 1991. It took just 13 years for the Orange Revolution, which heralded Yushchenko and Tymoshenko as it’s heros.

Yet, here we are. Only another 10 years have past, and the hugely divided nation is once again upturned. Yanukovych is ousted, (in what his Eastern supporters portray as an illegal coup), Tymoshenko is released two years into her seven year sentence, but looking a far cry from the woman we last saw.

One thing is for sure, this nation is hugely divided, and it is a deep seated divide. One which could have drastic consequences for the country, it’s people and perhaps the world.

The west is pro-EU, the East is staunch Yanukovych and supports more alignment to Putin’s Russia, in a Soviet satellite relationship. This will effect any future elections somewhat more than people think, and will definitely not result in huge landslides, for either side. Looking more extremely, could this even result in a split nation, totally divided by opinion, driven to the drastic decision to severe into two?

My ‘harking’ to the stagnant days of the Cold War was not without substance. As you can see by my title, I fully believe this is a unique situation that Ukraine, and Europe has found itself in. If the nation does become so violently split in it’s political allegiance, then what becomes of the thaw?

Will the iron curtain, (albeit a lot, lot smaller) begin to freeze once more?